on November 11, 2019
“The general level of interest in making investments before the IPOs is crazy, it’s in the clouds,” says Andrea Walne, a partner at Manhattan Venture Partners.
Entering before an IPO helps an investor build a large stake more easily In a traditional IPO, companies usually sell a limited amount of shares and investment banks decide who gets it.
on November 1, 2019
As most ConsumerAffairs readers know, ridesharing services have been on a rollercoaster ride for the last few years. One market observer thinks that this move might be just the thing Lyft needs to get it off that roller coaster.
“This is in line with the company’s original mission to replace car ownership with car renting/sharing,” Santosh Rao, Head of Research at Manhattan Venture Partners, told ConsumerAffairs.
“With a ubiquitous, end-to-end inter modal transportation offering, Lyft believes that it can usher in a world where people will not need to own a car and all the hassles that go with it — cost being the biggest one — and focus more on living their lives more fully.”
It’s too early to tell if and how much Pink might affect Lyft’s bottom line, but the signs are pointing in a positive direction for the company.
“With three strong sequential quarters right off the gate, a rational pricing environment, strong unit economics in its core market, and compelling operating leverage in the model with a clear path to profitability, we remain bullish on the Lyft story,” Rao said.
on October 28, 2019
“If you turned back the clock 15 years, and you wanted to invest in a high-growth business, you would go to the Nasdaq,” says Jared Carmel, co-founder of Socios de Manhattan Venture, an investment fund that negotiates private stock sales.
“Today, that hyperbolic growth that you would normally see within the first 10 years of the company is behind them [when they go public].
For the traditional public market investor, whether you’re an institution or a retail investor, there has been little opportunity.
on October 23, 2019
“The overall level of interest in doing investments ahead of IPOs is insane—it’s through the roof,” says Andrea Walne, a partner at Manhattan Venture Partners LLC, which focuses on this market. “People feel as though they can lock in the same value as the VCs they admire and respect.” Her business card reads “Tomorrow’s IPOs Today,” with a trademark symbol above the phrase.
on October 10, 2019
Still, some analysts say the market is out there. Santosh Rao, the head of research at Manhattan Venture Partners, says that airline passengers already spend $407 billion on flights lasting more than 10 hours each year. If space companies can win 5% of that business, there’s a $20 billion market. But average fares for those flights are $2,500, so a ticket to ride on a spacecraft will need to fall drastically from current levels.
on October 7, 2019
“I think that it’s incredibly likely that they’ll postpone their plans for … fundraising efforts around Vision Fund 2,” said Andrea Lamari Walne, a Silicon Valley-based partner at Manhattan Venture Partners, which facilitates secondary transactions.
on October 3, 2019
No matter the path to markets, firms are seeing greater public scrutiny toward their financial figures. The “honeymoon phase” of post-IPO pops “is going to go away,” Manhattan Venture Partners head of research Santosh Rao said.
Companies will need “a clear path to profitability” if they want to transition from private funding to public markets, he added, stating that private funding rounds will hinge more on bottom-line performance and projected public performance.
“Toward the later rounds, private investors will have to be more rational in what they’re willing to pay,” Rao said in an interview. “The company has to be able to withstand public market scrutiny, which will only get more intense after this round of IPOs.”
on October 1, 2019
And for others like Santosh Rao, head of research at Manhattan Venture Partners, We Co. will likely have to start from scratch with their filing. He suggests the way the prospectus is set up currently is “absolutely a no-go.”
Indeed, for others like Manhattan Venture Partners’ Rao, the major investors in We (like JP Morgan and SoftBank) are somewhat stuck.
“I’m sure [the financing] can be renegotiated,” Rao told Fortune. “At this point, … I think that the bankers have invested a lot already, so they’re not going to abandon ship at this point, they will stay the course. It may be renegotiated, maybe on different terms, and maybe they have to pay a higher rate … but it’ll get done. It’s in the best interest of the banks.”
on September 30, 2019
Indeed, those like Aggarwal believe many of these unicorns were “given a little bit of a free hand.” She maintains investors are going to be keeping a closer eye on private companies’ business plans and losses—and Santosh Rao, head of research at Manhattan Venture Partners, suggests that, especially after Uber’s and Lyft’s “hype and then bust,” investors have become very cautious. “Now they’re reading the fine print, they’re not just looking at the revenues,” he says.
“I think [private investors are] going to realize that there’s not going to be that big bump that you get at the IPO, there’s no guarantee,” Rao says. “Because some people come in late, either they should have a very long time horizon, or they think they’re going to get a big pop at the IPO, … but I think now you’ll see that the incremental investor in the later rounds will be more cautious, will know that the exits may not be rewarding, or the upside may be limited when they go out, so they’ll have to either wait or make sure that the company has a solid business model [and] that it can withstand the scrutiny of the public market that is going to be very intense.”
on September 27, 2019
“The valuations are broken,” Santosh Rao, Managing Partner at IPO research firm Manhattan Venture Research told me. “What are the bankers thinking? Private valuations are way out of sync with what the public is willing to pay.”
The other major issue that is resurfacing: lack of profitability. Peloton, for example, lost $296 million on $915 million in revenues. It’s not clear how many years it will take to become profitable, part of a long string of companies that are very good at burning cash but not great at generating profits any time in the near future.
Venture bytes es un informe mensual de Insight que destaca ideas tópicas, tendencias actuales y oportunidades emergentes en el panorama tecnológico global